For many people parlay betting on the point spread is extremely attractive because of the nice take back. Typically, a $100 bet on a two team parlay will bring in $260 (plus you get your original $100 back if you win. As an example you might take Duke -7 and Stanford -5. Parlays always require two or more bets and all the teams have to beat the pointspead for you to win. Parlays account for 10% of betting, but the sportsbooks make about 30% of their profit from their parlay bettors.
Statistically You need to win about 33% of your parlay bets to make money. Yet, only 25% of 2 team parlay bets win. The odds get much worse if you do parlays involving 3 or more teams. Surely you will win some of your bets just like occasionally slot players will win the jackpot.
However, over the long term betting parlays is not a good proposition.
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Saturday, December 25, 2010
It Works If You Work It.
Merry Christmas Everyone,
I'm in a food coma right now. First of all, I want to thank Santa for giving us a 2W-0L start today as we won the first half of both the Boston vs Orlando and Miami vs. the Lakers.
I've talked to a lot of you recently and know that some people for various reasons are not making all of the plays. This blog might seem repetitive since I wrote about the same topic recently.
I understand that life gets in the way and that some people get gun shy if we have a couple of losing days in a row. But winning streaks and losing streaks are unpredictable. That is why I always emphasize to stay the course and make all of the plays. Your use of proper money management is crucial. Always bet the same amount on each game (flat bet)
Sometimes skipping plays will work in your favor if we have a losing day, etc. However, over the long term, our way of betting works. I just encourage you to make all the plays. You all have seen a tough run followed by an outstanding run. Treat your sports betting as an investment vehicle.
Happy Holidays,
George
703-217-0805
ps. If your subscription expires at the end of December of if you are new contact me about any specials that might be coming up for January.
I'm in a food coma right now. First of all, I want to thank Santa for giving us a 2W-0L start today as we won the first half of both the Boston vs Orlando and Miami vs. the Lakers.
I've talked to a lot of you recently and know that some people for various reasons are not making all of the plays. This blog might seem repetitive since I wrote about the same topic recently.
I understand that life gets in the way and that some people get gun shy if we have a couple of losing days in a row. But winning streaks and losing streaks are unpredictable. That is why I always emphasize to stay the course and make all of the plays. Your use of proper money management is crucial. Always bet the same amount on each game (flat bet)
Sometimes skipping plays will work in your favor if we have a losing day, etc. However, over the long term, our way of betting works. I just encourage you to make all the plays. You all have seen a tough run followed by an outstanding run. Treat your sports betting as an investment vehicle.
Happy Holidays,
George
703-217-0805
ps. If your subscription expires at the end of December of if you are new contact me about any specials that might be coming up for January.
Friday, December 17, 2010
35 College Bowl Games Coming Up
College Bowl Season is one of the most exciting times a year. While you cannot discount what happened during the regular season, bowl games are simply different. The key to making money our way is to determine which underdogs want it more and play the 1st half money lines underdogs.
We want to look for teams that are excited and motivated to be in the game. We will make a lot of money if we go against teams that although they are in a bowl, might be a little dissapointed in which bowl they are playing in.
Tune in for a lot of action.
If you want to subscribe to our bowl season special, just contact me at 703-217-0805 or e-mail gak555@yahoo.com Regular subscribers will already be receiving these plays.
Regards,
George
We want to look for teams that are excited and motivated to be in the game. We will make a lot of money if we go against teams that although they are in a bowl, might be a little dissapointed in which bowl they are playing in.
Tune in for a lot of action.
If you want to subscribe to our bowl season special, just contact me at 703-217-0805 or e-mail gak555@yahoo.com Regular subscribers will already be receiving these plays.
Regards,
George
Monday, December 13, 2010
Stick to the Plan
Good Morning,
First thing I want to do is address this weekend's results. Saturday we went
0W-3L and lost 3 units. Sunday we went 4W-1L and won 5.15 units. Based on the feedback I received Saturday evening, I am convinced that a number of players are either, picking and choosing their plays or are not managing their money properly by betting 3-4% per play
This is a long term investment proposition and we will have ups and downs. Over all we will make a lot of money. A bad streak is part of what happens. Please stick to the money management principles and make all of the plays even if we have a bad day or week.
There is a natural tendency to sit on the sidelines after a tough day or in some cases to double up or increase the bet size to make up for a bad day
What we do will make money. Some of you have to stop thinking about this venture as gambling and start looking it as investing. We never know when we are going th have that huge month that will quickly wipe out any temporararily losses.
First thing I want to do is address this weekend's results. Saturday we went
0W-3L and lost 3 units. Sunday we went 4W-1L and won 5.15 units. Based on the feedback I received Saturday evening, I am convinced that a number of players are either, picking and choosing their plays or are not managing their money properly by betting 3-4% per play
This is a long term investment proposition and we will have ups and downs. Over all we will make a lot of money. A bad streak is part of what happens. Please stick to the money management principles and make all of the plays even if we have a bad day or week.
There is a natural tendency to sit on the sidelines after a tough day or in some cases to double up or increase the bet size to make up for a bad day
What we do will make money. Some of you have to stop thinking about this venture as gambling and start looking it as investing. We never know when we are going th have that huge month that will quickly wipe out any temporararily losses.
Sunday, November 28, 2010
Clarifying First Half Money Line Plays
Many people, particularly those that have recently started still have a lot of questions about the difference between playing a game on the pointspread vs playing a game on the moneyline.
We only play first half moneylines because you make more money that way. The number of points a team is leading by or is losing by makes no difference. If your team is leading at the half you win the bet. If your team is behind at the half you lose your bet. If the score is tied at the half, you just get your money back as if no bet was made.
The big advantage we have is that when our teams win (we only bet moneyline underdogs), we win more money than if we lose a bet.
Let's look at the last two days of plays to see what happened. Assume that you bet $100 on each game (many people bet less) I am actually referring to Friday and Today as we had no bets on Saturday.
All of these bets were 1st half moneyline bets.
1. Auburn (L) -$100
2. S. Miss (L) -$100 - we were 0W-2L on Friday
3. Buffalo (L) - $100
4. Tennessee (L) -$100
5. Chicago (W) +$135
6. St Louis (W) +$150
7. Jacksonville (W) +$205 We were 3W-2L on Sunday
Some of the above teams ended up winning their games and others ended up losing.
We only care about the first half which involves a completely different set of handicapping guidelines.
Combined for the seven plays we won 3 plays- lost 4 plays and $100 bettors were up $90. That is the beauty of money line betting. We will have great streaks, average performances and losing streaks , however, our goal of averaging at least plus 10 units(a unit is the amount you bet) per month is very achievable if you stick with all of the plays.
I am doing a December special and will gladly send you a free e-book if you so request.
Regards,
George K.
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
We only play first half moneylines because you make more money that way. The number of points a team is leading by or is losing by makes no difference. If your team is leading at the half you win the bet. If your team is behind at the half you lose your bet. If the score is tied at the half, you just get your money back as if no bet was made.
The big advantage we have is that when our teams win (we only bet moneyline underdogs), we win more money than if we lose a bet.
Let's look at the last two days of plays to see what happened. Assume that you bet $100 on each game (many people bet less) I am actually referring to Friday and Today as we had no bets on Saturday.
All of these bets were 1st half moneyline bets.
1. Auburn (L) -$100
2. S. Miss (L) -$100 - we were 0W-2L on Friday
3. Buffalo (L) - $100
4. Tennessee (L) -$100
5. Chicago (W) +$135
6. St Louis (W) +$150
7. Jacksonville (W) +$205 We were 3W-2L on Sunday
Some of the above teams ended up winning their games and others ended up losing.
We only care about the first half which involves a completely different set of handicapping guidelines.
Combined for the seven plays we won 3 plays- lost 4 plays and $100 bettors were up $90. That is the beauty of money line betting. We will have great streaks, average performances and losing streaks , however, our goal of averaging at least plus 10 units(a unit is the amount you bet) per month is very achievable if you stick with all of the plays.
I am doing a December special and will gladly send you a free e-book if you so request.
Regards,
George K.
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Professional Sports Betting
The definition of a professional sports bettor is someone that bets on sports either part time or full time to MAKE money.
Most casual bettors do not have the discipline to make money consistently. They bet on their favorite teams, double up when they are losing, and look at sports betting as a recreational activity. As long as they do not mortgage the house they know they will win some and lose some. Many bettors really don’t seem to care very much about earning a long term profit.
They like to have some action on games as a form of recreation or excitement, not as an investment decision. Many of these types of bettors are far more interested in TV games and they tend to bet more on bigger games, like the Super Bowl or the NCAA Tournament.
Money management, record keeping and other important concepts just do not enter their minds. They play parlays, teasers and other exotic bets that offer huge paybacks, but which also are statistically big losers. If you are in this category. the sports books love you because you are making them a lot of money.
Professional bettors make the vast majority of their bets on straight money line bets either for the first half or the whole game. My focus on first half money line bets is extrememly profitable
Professionals bettors are in it for the long haul. They recognize that big winning streaks and some losing streaks are inevitable. Think about it, can anyone really predict a game will be won because of a last second field goal or a three point shot from half court. Of course not.
That is why we are in the probability business and not the prediction business.
My point is that if you stick with me and make all of the plays I recommend, you will make money. What is amazing, is that when I get on a hot streak, clients can't wait until the next day to bet. If I hit a dry run, many of them go into hiding until the next winning streak.
That is not smart. You have to manage your money by flat betting and recognize that our method has a built in advantage that will always lead to winnings seasons.
Most casual bettors do not have the discipline to make money consistently. They bet on their favorite teams, double up when they are losing, and look at sports betting as a recreational activity. As long as they do not mortgage the house they know they will win some and lose some. Many bettors really don’t seem to care very much about earning a long term profit.
They like to have some action on games as a form of recreation or excitement, not as an investment decision. Many of these types of bettors are far more interested in TV games and they tend to bet more on bigger games, like the Super Bowl or the NCAA Tournament.
Money management, record keeping and other important concepts just do not enter their minds. They play parlays, teasers and other exotic bets that offer huge paybacks, but which also are statistically big losers. If you are in this category. the sports books love you because you are making them a lot of money.
Professional bettors make the vast majority of their bets on straight money line bets either for the first half or the whole game. My focus on first half money line bets is extrememly profitable
Professionals bettors are in it for the long haul. They recognize that big winning streaks and some losing streaks are inevitable. Think about it, can anyone really predict a game will be won because of a last second field goal or a three point shot from half court. Of course not.
That is why we are in the probability business and not the prediction business.
My point is that if you stick with me and make all of the plays I recommend, you will make money. What is amazing, is that when I get on a hot streak, clients can't wait until the next day to bet. If I hit a dry run, many of them go into hiding until the next winning streak.
That is not smart. You have to manage your money by flat betting and recognize that our method has a built in advantage that will always lead to winnings seasons.
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Sports Betting is a long term investment
Good Day,
It has been a while since I have been updating my blog posts. I am happy to say that after the car accident I am back at full speed.
1. Sports betting is a lifelong endeavor. You will have winning days and you will have losing days. It still amazes me how much praise I get after a winning streak and how much despair I hear after a losing streak. Gamblers have very short term memories.
2. Sports bettors who take a short-term approach get stuck in a vicious cycle. They build their bankroll, add to it with a hot streak and then eventually watch it go up in smoke when they hit the inevitable skids. The most unfortunate of them do it over and over and over again. Forget GREED. It is a losing proposition. I have had clients blow up their accounts after a good run, only to put an insane amount of money on a bet that either doubles their money or they end up losing everything. Don't do that. Sports betting is intoxicating and poor money management causes many bettors to make stupid decisions. Sports betting done properly is not a get rich scheme. You will make money, but you have to understand we are INVESTING, not gambling
3. The key is to look at the long term big picture. Taking the long term view is not only logical, but it’s also profitable. As an example, have you noticed with every stock pick that you have ever made that 90% of the time the stock price drops before it rises. Surely, there are exceptions to the rule but not many.
4. Think back to the last time you suffer a drop in your bankroll. Did it happen quickly, within a week or even a couple of days? Did it happen shortly after you went on a hot streak? Do you remember suffering a tough beat and then trying to play catch-up by betting a few additional games that you originally didn’t intend to play? It happens. The time after you suffer a bad beat or go through an extended losing streak is extremely dangerous, especially if you’re not taking a long-term approach.
5. Looking over the last three months, we has a great September +16 units and a solid October, being up + 7 units. November has been a tough month as we are slightly down in our account. One good day, and we are back in positive territory One small twist can make the difference. Last night, we has two plays. We won Miami, and we lost Orland by one point. HEY, that is the reality of what we do.
I still expect November to be a winning month as we have experienced some really close losses ( as well as some blowouts, so I just suggest you watch your money management and follow the rules that I have set.
The most successful bettors do the following.
1. Play all of my bets
2. Place 4% on your bankroll on each bet.
3. Increase your bet size to 4% if your bankroll increases.
4. Do not get hung up on daily fluctuations. Our goal is to make +10 units average
per month - +120 units per year. A unit is the amount you usually bet.
5. Set it and forget it. The approach we use WORKS! Just keep making\
the plays and you will make money.
It has been a while since I have been updating my blog posts. I am happy to say that after the car accident I am back at full speed.
1. Sports betting is a lifelong endeavor. You will have winning days and you will have losing days. It still amazes me how much praise I get after a winning streak and how much despair I hear after a losing streak. Gamblers have very short term memories.
2. Sports bettors who take a short-term approach get stuck in a vicious cycle. They build their bankroll, add to it with a hot streak and then eventually watch it go up in smoke when they hit the inevitable skids. The most unfortunate of them do it over and over and over again. Forget GREED. It is a losing proposition. I have had clients blow up their accounts after a good run, only to put an insane amount of money on a bet that either doubles their money or they end up losing everything. Don't do that. Sports betting is intoxicating and poor money management causes many bettors to make stupid decisions. Sports betting done properly is not a get rich scheme. You will make money, but you have to understand we are INVESTING, not gambling
3. The key is to look at the long term big picture. Taking the long term view is not only logical, but it’s also profitable. As an example, have you noticed with every stock pick that you have ever made that 90% of the time the stock price drops before it rises. Surely, there are exceptions to the rule but not many.
4. Think back to the last time you suffer a drop in your bankroll. Did it happen quickly, within a week or even a couple of days? Did it happen shortly after you went on a hot streak? Do you remember suffering a tough beat and then trying to play catch-up by betting a few additional games that you originally didn’t intend to play? It happens. The time after you suffer a bad beat or go through an extended losing streak is extremely dangerous, especially if you’re not taking a long-term approach.
5. Looking over the last three months, we has a great September +16 units and a solid October, being up + 7 units. November has been a tough month as we are slightly down in our account. One good day, and we are back in positive territory One small twist can make the difference. Last night, we has two plays. We won Miami, and we lost Orland by one point. HEY, that is the reality of what we do.
I still expect November to be a winning month as we have experienced some really close losses ( as well as some blowouts, so I just suggest you watch your money management and follow the rules that I have set.
The most successful bettors do the following.
1. Play all of my bets
2. Place 4% on your bankroll on each bet.
3. Increase your bet size to 4% if your bankroll increases.
4. Do not get hung up on daily fluctuations. Our goal is to make +10 units average
per month - +120 units per year. A unit is the amount you usually bet.
5. Set it and forget it. The approach we use WORKS! Just keep making\
the plays and you will make money.
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