Is momentum important in baseball ?
Yes, it is very important. Each team will play 162 games. You will see that every team from the best to the worst is going to have winning streaks and losing streaks. Good hitting and good pitching are contagious.
Betting on an underdog that has been on a winning streak is one of my favorite plays. Bob McCune taught me to never get in the way of a winning or a losing streak in baseball. Regardless of the team, sometimes the hitters collectively will be seeing Beach Balls and sometimes they will be seeing BB guns come to the plate.
The best way to look at these opportunities is to focus of recent performance. What happened one or two months ago does not matter. What does matter, is what has a team done lately. Forget about statistics for the full season, what happened last week is much more important.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Sunday, May 29, 2011
Friday, May 27, 2011
Baseball - Pitching Changes
Good Afternoon,
I want to clarify the difference in baseball between action bets and listed pitchers.
We always want to bet listed pitchers. Baseball lines are highly influenced by whom is pitching for both sides.
If you place a bet at most sports books they automatically default to listed pitchers. That means if the listed pitchers do not start the game and a replacement pitcher gets the call, your bet is null and void and you just get your money back. If you bet action, then regardless of a pitching change, your bet will stand.
This year in baseball we have only had two games with last minute pitching changes, so this is not a major concern, but it is something to be aware of.
Last year I went to a Washington Nationals game. The highly touted rookie Steven Strausburg was scheduled to pitch. Unfortunately during warm ups he was having stiffness in his shoulder, so they scratched him for the game and brought someone else in to start the game. Anyone that bet either side would have just gotten their money back because Strauburg did not start .
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I want to clarify the difference in baseball between action bets and listed pitchers.
We always want to bet listed pitchers. Baseball lines are highly influenced by whom is pitching for both sides.
If you place a bet at most sports books they automatically default to listed pitchers. That means if the listed pitchers do not start the game and a replacement pitcher gets the call, your bet is null and void and you just get your money back. If you bet action, then regardless of a pitching change, your bet will stand.
This year in baseball we have only had two games with last minute pitching changes, so this is not a major concern, but it is something to be aware of.
Last year I went to a Washington Nationals game. The highly touted rookie Steven Strausburg was scheduled to pitch. Unfortunately during warm ups he was having stiffness in his shoulder, so they scratched him for the game and brought someone else in to start the game. Anyone that bet either side would have just gotten their money back because Strauburg did not start .
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Thursday, May 26, 2011
When Bad isn't that Bad
Good Morning,
Yesterday, we had four plays. Below is the e-mail that I sent to subscribers. It was definitely one of those days. We went 1W-3L. We lost all three of our day MLB games and won the NBA bet.
I do not like losing money, but tough days are part of what we do. I just want to point out that we were down only 1.25 units on the day. The reason is that we had Oklahoma City at +175. That is the advantage of betting money line underdogs. When we have a good day, our returns far out shines the bad days.
If you are a subsciber, just accept what happened yesterday, and move on. The nice thing about sports betting is that there is always tomorrow.
___________________________________________________________________________
Good Morning,
Today we have one NBA and three MLB plays. Please note the early starts:
1. (9:05) Oklahoma City vs Dallas - play OC +175
2. (12:05) Cleveland Indians vs Boston. play Cleveland +155
3. (1:05) Toronto Blue Jays vs NY Yankees. play Toronto +155
4. (2:05) Chicago White Sox vs Texas. play Chicago White Sox +1.31
All Plays are 1st half or 1st five inning money lines
Yesterday, we had four plays. Below is the e-mail that I sent to subscribers. It was definitely one of those days. We went 1W-3L. We lost all three of our day MLB games and won the NBA bet.
I do not like losing money, but tough days are part of what we do. I just want to point out that we were down only 1.25 units on the day. The reason is that we had Oklahoma City at +175. That is the advantage of betting money line underdogs. When we have a good day, our returns far out shines the bad days.
If you are a subsciber, just accept what happened yesterday, and move on. The nice thing about sports betting is that there is always tomorrow.
___________________________________________________________________________
Good Morning,
Today we have one NBA and three MLB plays. Please note the early starts:
1. (9:05) Oklahoma City vs Dallas - play OC +175
2. (12:05) Cleveland Indians vs Boston. play Cleveland +155
3. (1:05) Toronto Blue Jays vs NY Yankees. play Toronto +155
4. (2:05) Chicago White Sox vs Texas. play Chicago White Sox +1.31
All Plays are 1st half or 1st five inning money lines
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
Which Sport Book to Use
Good Afternoon,
I send all new clients to 5Dimes.com (I have no affiliation with them other than being a long term client). Most sports books will allow you to open an account without actually funding it. This gives you a chance to review the site.
Many sites have numerous betting options including online casinos. Personally, I would never place a casino bet using an online sports book.
We specialize in one type of bet so when you look at a sports book, avoid all the bells and whistles and find out if they allow 1st half and 1st five inning money line betting.
Also, find out about any potential bonus that is being offered. It might seem like a hassle when you open up an account at a sports book because they vary in the ways they accept money, and might require you to fax a copy of your license, etc. However, once you do it, it's done.
You should also know that off shore sports books do not report income to the IRS. Below is a website that evaluates over 750 sports books. I strongly recommend that you use a sports book that is rated A or A+ and that accepts our type of betting.
BetJamaica.com and theGreek.com are two other quality sites that accept our type of betting. If you have a large bankroll, you might want to open accounts at more that one sports book. This allows you to shop for the best price.
www.sportsbookreview.com
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I send all new clients to 5Dimes.com (I have no affiliation with them other than being a long term client). Most sports books will allow you to open an account without actually funding it. This gives you a chance to review the site.
Many sites have numerous betting options including online casinos. Personally, I would never place a casino bet using an online sports book.
We specialize in one type of bet so when you look at a sports book, avoid all the bells and whistles and find out if they allow 1st half and 1st five inning money line betting.
Also, find out about any potential bonus that is being offered. It might seem like a hassle when you open up an account at a sports book because they vary in the ways they accept money, and might require you to fax a copy of your license, etc. However, once you do it, it's done.
You should also know that off shore sports books do not report income to the IRS. Below is a website that evaluates over 750 sports books. I strongly recommend that you use a sports book that is rated A or A+ and that accepts our type of betting.
BetJamaica.com and theGreek.com are two other quality sites that accept our type of betting. If you have a large bankroll, you might want to open accounts at more that one sports book. This allows you to shop for the best price.
www.sportsbookreview.com
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Monday, May 23, 2011
The Zig-Zag Theory
The Zig-Zag theory is one of the most popular handicapping techniques especially during the NBA playoffs. It is based on the simple theory: The team that wins a game is less likely to improve than the one that just lost. The loser comes out more hungry because every play off game is a must win situation.
I look at the Zig-Zag theory when I handicap the NBA playoffs and to some degree the MLB post season. There are several times that this approach is helpful, especially when you are dealing with strong defenses.
However, over time you can not place bets strickly using this theory. If it worked then technically every playoff series would go seven games, and we know that doesn't happen.
So look at the revenge factor, just don't hang your hat on it or use it exclusively.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I look at the Zig-Zag theory when I handicap the NBA playoffs and to some degree the MLB post season. There are several times that this approach is helpful, especially when you are dealing with strong defenses.
However, over time you can not place bets strickly using this theory. If it worked then technically every playoff series would go seven games, and we know that doesn't happen.
So look at the revenge factor, just don't hang your hat on it or use it exclusively.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Friday, May 20, 2011
Realistic Expectations
Good Morning,
The class I teach and my e-book are both titled How to Make $50,000 a Year Betting on Sports.
I am not a very good marketing guy, but someone that is recommended this title to attract attention. It certainly has done that. But, I want clients to be realistic about what they can make betting on sports.
Our goal is to average 8-10 units per month. If you work with me, that is very realistic, but you have to look at sports investing as a long term investment.
Over the course of a year, we will have huge months, average months and
losing months.
We never know when we will hit a big month or a losing month. That is why it is important to use proper money management (flat betting 3-4% of your of your bankroll) on each play.
We should hit at least 100 units( a unit is the amount you bet) every year. If you want to make $50,000 profit you would have to bet about $500.00 per play.
Many of my clients cannot bet $500 per game. I get calls and e-mails all the time from people that want to know how they can turn a bankroll of $500 into a bankroll of $50,000. You can't over night. If you take the amount you bet on each game and multiply it by 100, that will give you a more realistic picture of what you will make. For example, if you are a $100 bettor you should make $10,000 a year.
The good news is that as your bankroll increases, so does your amount that you bet on every game. Also, there is no easier way to make money than properly betting on sports.
We are not affected by unemployment rates or an uncertain economy. I know that if I compare my returns to what you can get in the options, futures, commodities and stock market, I will win hands down.
If you are a current client you know you can contact me by phone or e-mail at anytime. I try to answer questions as quickly as possible.
If you have not yet signed up and are sitting on the fence, now is a great time to get started. Just call or e-mail me and I will tell you why.
Regards.
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
The class I teach and my e-book are both titled How to Make $50,000 a Year Betting on Sports.
I am not a very good marketing guy, but someone that is recommended this title to attract attention. It certainly has done that. But, I want clients to be realistic about what they can make betting on sports.
Our goal is to average 8-10 units per month. If you work with me, that is very realistic, but you have to look at sports investing as a long term investment.
Over the course of a year, we will have huge months, average months and
losing months.
We never know when we will hit a big month or a losing month. That is why it is important to use proper money management (flat betting 3-4% of your of your bankroll) on each play.
We should hit at least 100 units( a unit is the amount you bet) every year. If you want to make $50,000 profit you would have to bet about $500.00 per play.
Many of my clients cannot bet $500 per game. I get calls and e-mails all the time from people that want to know how they can turn a bankroll of $500 into a bankroll of $50,000. You can't over night. If you take the amount you bet on each game and multiply it by 100, that will give you a more realistic picture of what you will make. For example, if you are a $100 bettor you should make $10,000 a year.
The good news is that as your bankroll increases, so does your amount that you bet on every game. Also, there is no easier way to make money than properly betting on sports.
We are not affected by unemployment rates or an uncertain economy. I know that if I compare my returns to what you can get in the options, futures, commodities and stock market, I will win hands down.
If you are a current client you know you can contact me by phone or e-mail at anytime. I try to answer questions as quickly as possible.
If you have not yet signed up and are sitting on the fence, now is a great time to get started. Just call or e-mail me and I will tell you why.
Regards.
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Thursday, May 19, 2011
Flat Betting Every Game
Special Thanks to client Jeff A. for giving me the idea to do this post.
Tonight we have two plays. My client suggested we bet more on one game than the other. I totally understand and respect his opinion.
I flat bet every game even if I feel particularly strong about a play. In the long run that is the way to go. A gentleman that I tutored with, Bob McCune, used to say that "every pitcher has a no hitter in them." His point was that anything can happen in a particular game.
When I pick a team to win, I can easily point out reasons they could lose. It's the plus money that gives us a cushion. The last couple of days we had a couple of very close losses. That comes with the territory. You will find that over time we will have a lot of close winners , too.
Please stick to betting the same amount on every game even if it takes you out of your comfort zone.
Regards,
George
Tonight we have two plays. My client suggested we bet more on one game than the other. I totally understand and respect his opinion.
I flat bet every game even if I feel particularly strong about a play. In the long run that is the way to go. A gentleman that I tutored with, Bob McCune, used to say that "every pitcher has a no hitter in them." His point was that anything can happen in a particular game.
When I pick a team to win, I can easily point out reasons they could lose. It's the plus money that gives us a cushion. The last couple of days we had a couple of very close losses. That comes with the territory. You will find that over time we will have a lot of close winners , too.
Please stick to betting the same amount on every game even if it takes you out of your comfort zone.
Regards,
George
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