Tuesday, January 11, 2011

The Importance of Flat Betting

Last night we had Notre Dame vs. Marquette. The take back was a nice first half moneyline of +130. It was a good bet. Notre Dame was ranked 11th in the country and they have been playing very well.

So what happened? Marquette hit 12 of 17 from three point range. That is over 70%.
Meanwhile, Notre Dame hit just 3-16 beyond the three point line.

Mike Brey, coach of Notre Dame had this to say " Marquette was in a zone. They probably could have beaten an NBA team the way they were shooting 3's. I'm glad that a night like this only counts as one loss".

The point is, expect the unexpected. How many people would have predicted that there would only be 41 points scored in the Auburn vs. Oregon game. Very few.

When we place a bet based on using 1st half money lines we are shooting for a 50% winning percentage. We will have some close wins and some close losses. In the long run what we do works.

It is important to bet the same amount (flat bet) on every game. We never know when we are going to go on a big winning streak. Lately, we have been bouncing back an forth, close to breakeven. Stay the course and make all of the plays. In the long run we will definitely be profitable.

Regards,

George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com

1 comment:

  1. I parlay a bunch of other games and my final bet was the Under. 74points is a line I wanted to be on the under because that's 10 TD's and one field goal and you will still win. I took the under but thought there would be at least 60-65pts.

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