Betting on the over/under score of a game is another approach that some sports bettors use. Sometimes I will bet a total with my fun money. However, I never give out an official play on a total.
There are two reasons why I stay away from them.
1. Over time, I have never been able to consistently beat them.
2. Commissions/Vig - there are exceptions to this but most total bets are going
to require you to pay approximately 10% commission. So just to break even
you will need to win 52.38% of your plays. You never want that situation
because it puts you in the hole right from the beginning. I prefer to stick
with the moneyline underdogs because you will always make more back on your
winners than losers. If we win 46-50% of our bets we wil make money.
If you are going to bet totals you will probably want to focus on the unders. By and large, the general public likes to bet on the over, so the over tends to be inflated, particularly on TV games.
Another thing to be aware of is that most people think that a rainy, nasty day should favor the under. However, keep in mind that the offenses know where they are going, and slippery conditions may give the offenses an advantage.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I have a great special for February. $39.00 gets you all of the plays for February. If we don't turn a profit then March is free
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