Friday, July 8, 2011

When Very Good Pitchers Face Elite Pitchers

Good Morning,
Today one of our plays is Atlanta vs. Philadelphia for the first five innings. The payback on Atlanta is a very nice +160 The last time that Roy Halladay pitched for Philadelphia I stayed out of his way. He is one of the best in the business.

What is different about tonight's game is that Atlanta has been playing very well lately and they are sending Brandon Beachy to the mound. Beachy is flying under the radar right now, and a lot of people do not know much about him. He is going to be very good.

An interesting thing happens when a good pitcher faces the best. Often a confident, good pitcher relishes the opportunity to go against the elite. It is not uncommon to see them elevate they game to a high level.

Of course, this does not always happen, but with a strong takeback of +160 we have an excellent chance of leading this game after five innings. Even if we are behind 10-0 after five, this is still a very good bet as our goal is to win 50% of our plays.

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