I could show you hundreds of examples of handicappers that advise making plays based on ATS (Against the Spread)record.
With our style of betting we hardly ever pay attention to ATS because we are betting first half moneyline line underdogs for a team to be leading at half while winning more money back than we wagered. That is why our goal is 50% winners and 10 units of profit per month. A unit is what you normally risk on each of your bets.
ATS means how a team does against the pointspread. We never bet on pointspreads, because we are in the business of making money.
Here are three ridiculous examples of recommended bets based on ATS records. We will use college football as an example.
1. California is 2-7 ATS past nine games vs. Washington State.
2. Southern Cal is 7-3 ATS past ten vs Arizona St.
3. Florida Atlantic is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games in November.
What happened ATS 3 or 4 years ago between teams means almost nothing when you are looking to make a wager today. Coaches and players change very frequently and many teams that were great four years ago are terrible this year and vica versa.
You betting should be base on a combination of fundamental, technical and situational conditions. If you want to make money over the long term stick to money line underdogs. All professional handicappers will have ups and downs, but the approach we use WORKS as long as you are using good money management and bet the same amount on every play.
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com.
Call if you have any questions about our advisory service or sports betting approach.
Friday, October 29, 2010
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
NBA-Taking Candy from a Baby?
Thanks to subscriber MN for inspiring this blog. The NBA will be starting very soon so we will begin to have more daily plays.
January 1st through March 31st of 2010 when I was focusing on basketball I went
86W-76L (53.08%) with an average take back of +138. $100 bettors were up $4,268 or 42.68 units.
The NBA presents many golden opportunities for the way we bet. They play a long grueling season of 82 games with a lot of travel and injuries involved. There will be many situational plays for us to take advantage of.
Many people feel that NBA games do not really kick into high gear until the 4th quarter, and that is true in a lot of games. In our method we don't care about the
4th quarter, only the first half.
In many cases, inferior teams are able to keep pace for at least the first half, so this is great for us in being able to sneak in some solid wins.
We will be looking to go against many over valued team. As an example, the Miami Heat are the most hyped team in history. If they play to their potential, they will win a lot of games.
The lines will almost always be skewed in their favor as many people will blindly bet on them. However, Lebron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh are all 4th quarter closers. That's not to say that Wade or one of the other superstars won't put up 30 points in the first half.
But these guys are human and have to pace themselves. Also, the chances of one of them having a bad game is always prevalent.
Winning NBA 1st half bets is not like taking candy from a baby, but trust me, we will make a lot of money.
The Special for non-subscribers to get all baseball, football and basketball plays through December 31st for only $99.00 will end this Sunday October 24th. I accept checks, money orders or PayPal. Don't forget we still have a lot of pro and college football remaining through the rest of October.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
January 1st through March 31st of 2010 when I was focusing on basketball I went
86W-76L (53.08%) with an average take back of +138. $100 bettors were up $4,268 or 42.68 units.
The NBA presents many golden opportunities for the way we bet. They play a long grueling season of 82 games with a lot of travel and injuries involved. There will be many situational plays for us to take advantage of.
Many people feel that NBA games do not really kick into high gear until the 4th quarter, and that is true in a lot of games. In our method we don't care about the
4th quarter, only the first half.
In many cases, inferior teams are able to keep pace for at least the first half, so this is great for us in being able to sneak in some solid wins.
We will be looking to go against many over valued team. As an example, the Miami Heat are the most hyped team in history. If they play to their potential, they will win a lot of games.
The lines will almost always be skewed in their favor as many people will blindly bet on them. However, Lebron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh are all 4th quarter closers. That's not to say that Wade or one of the other superstars won't put up 30 points in the first half.
But these guys are human and have to pace themselves. Also, the chances of one of them having a bad game is always prevalent.
Winning NBA 1st half bets is not like taking candy from a baby, but trust me, we will make a lot of money.
The Special for non-subscribers to get all baseball, football and basketball plays through December 31st for only $99.00 will end this Sunday October 24th. I accept checks, money orders or PayPal. Don't forget we still have a lot of pro and college football remaining through the rest of October.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Monday, October 18, 2010
What I noticed at Glory Days yesterday
Glory Days Grill is one of the best sports bars in the metropolitan Washington DC. area. They have several locations and multiple TV screens.
Just listening and talking with several patrons , I was amazed at what I was hearing. People were all over the place with their bets and parlay cards. It was not uncommon to see many people going over on some games, unders on others, taking favorites and taking dogs.
What I walked away with was a true appreciation of what I have learned over the years. The key to making money consistently is specialization. I am very disciplined and focused, and when I evaluate a game I am evaluating the first half or first five innings exclusively. Even if I love a favorite, I won't bet it.
If you find something that works, stick to it. You don't have to bet every game on the board. Remember, our goal is to make money. Stick to the plays I release and you will make money. Do not be selective....bet them all.
A final point is to stick to your money management. When we go on a great run as we have lately, it is not uncommon for bettors to up their bet size because they are doing great.
Do not make that mistake. We will have some tough days ahead, because that is the nature of the business. Stay disciplined and you will be alright. Treat your sports betting as a business
Just listening and talking with several patrons , I was amazed at what I was hearing. People were all over the place with their bets and parlay cards. It was not uncommon to see many people going over on some games, unders on others, taking favorites and taking dogs.
What I walked away with was a true appreciation of what I have learned over the years. The key to making money consistently is specialization. I am very disciplined and focused, and when I evaluate a game I am evaluating the first half or first five innings exclusively. Even if I love a favorite, I won't bet it.
If you find something that works, stick to it. You don't have to bet every game on the board. Remember, our goal is to make money. Stick to the plays I release and you will make money. Do not be selective....bet them all.
A final point is to stick to your money management. When we go on a great run as we have lately, it is not uncommon for bettors to up their bet size because they are doing great.
Do not make that mistake. We will have some tough days ahead, because that is the nature of the business. Stay disciplined and you will be alright. Treat your sports betting as a business
Monday, October 11, 2010
Year to Date Record through September 30th
The official won-loss record for this year through September 30th is 332W-343L.
That is a winning percentage of 49.18%. Our goal is to win 50% of the games we play.
Our average take back on winners was +136. So $100 bettors for example win an average of $136 on successful bets, and lose $100 on losing bets. $100 bettors are up $10,852 for the year.
I am one of the very few handicappers that specializes in betting money line underdogs for the 1st five innings of baseball games and the 1st half of football and basketball games. We do not bet pointspreads which you will find many of the top handicappers are moving away from because of the commission/vigorish.
I bet MLB, NFL, NCAAF,NBA and NCAAB. Plays are release once a day typically in the morning. I do not use a system. Rather, I combine fundamental, technical and situational analysis.
If you would like to try my service, which includes unlimited phone and e-mail support, I charge $50.00 per month and guide you every step of the way. I am doing a $99.00 special that will give you all plays through December 31, 2010. You can pay by check/money order or PayPal whichever option you choose.:
My address is: George Kallajxhi
13411 Harrison Ave.
Ft. Washington Md. 20744
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
PayPal email to send money is the same : gak555@yahoo.com
By the way, I got to know all of the big Vegas players and set my foundation and approach by working with Bob McCune, Larry Grossman, Lem Banker and others. The world of sportsbetting has changed dramatically from the late 1990's
The way I bet is the state of art way of making money betting on sports.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
That is a winning percentage of 49.18%. Our goal is to win 50% of the games we play.
Our average take back on winners was +136. So $100 bettors for example win an average of $136 on successful bets, and lose $100 on losing bets. $100 bettors are up $10,852 for the year.
I am one of the very few handicappers that specializes in betting money line underdogs for the 1st five innings of baseball games and the 1st half of football and basketball games. We do not bet pointspreads which you will find many of the top handicappers are moving away from because of the commission/vigorish.
I bet MLB, NFL, NCAAF,NBA and NCAAB. Plays are release once a day typically in the morning. I do not use a system. Rather, I combine fundamental, technical and situational analysis.
If you would like to try my service, which includes unlimited phone and e-mail support, I charge $50.00 per month and guide you every step of the way. I am doing a $99.00 special that will give you all plays through December 31, 2010. You can pay by check/money order or PayPal whichever option you choose.:
My address is: George Kallajxhi
13411 Harrison Ave.
Ft. Washington Md. 20744
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
PayPal email to send money is the same : gak555@yahoo.com
By the way, I got to know all of the big Vegas players and set my foundation and approach by working with Bob McCune, Larry Grossman, Lem Banker and others. The world of sportsbetting has changed dramatically from the late 1990's
The way I bet is the state of art way of making money betting on sports.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
Monday, October 4, 2010
Paralysis by Analysis
Yesterday I was in the car most of the day heading to Elkins, West Virginia for a visit with friends. I had the sports talk show on the radio and it nearly drove me crazy. They had a number of pundits giving their predictions on Sunday Night's Football game.
I think every small detail and matchup was evaluated. They even interviewed two of the player's mothers. I know some people can't get enough of this stuff, but when you are purely in the business to make money, much of it is not significant.
We had the Chicago Bears +150 for the first half. That simply means if the Bears were leading at the half $100 bettors would have won $150 (plus they would get their $100 back). The Giants were leading 3-0 at the half, so that was our only loss. $100 bettors lost $100.
If I polled 1000 people for an estimate half time score, I bet no one would have predicted the 3-0 score. I certainly would not have.
My point is as I have mentioned several times, is we do not predict scores. We simply try to identify underdogs on the money line that have a good chance of being ahead at the half. The second half has no bearing on what we do. Over time, we make a lot of money wagering this way.
Don't complicate things with a buffet of statistical comparisons. That only confuses people.
Use the K.I.S.S. concept ( keep it simple stupid.
People ask me all the time if I can teach them my system. Well, I can teach some basics, but after doing this for 17 years you definitely develop a sixth sense to figure what to do. That is the kind of thing I can't teach and the reason I offer my advisory service.
Most people do not have the inclination or desire to properly evaluate every game. I do. The moral is simple. Do not get caught up in the incredible myriad of available statistics and predictions. If you follow every play I recommend you will have ups and downs but I guarantee you will make money.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I think every small detail and matchup was evaluated. They even interviewed two of the player's mothers. I know some people can't get enough of this stuff, but when you are purely in the business to make money, much of it is not significant.
We had the Chicago Bears +150 for the first half. That simply means if the Bears were leading at the half $100 bettors would have won $150 (plus they would get their $100 back). The Giants were leading 3-0 at the half, so that was our only loss. $100 bettors lost $100.
If I polled 1000 people for an estimate half time score, I bet no one would have predicted the 3-0 score. I certainly would not have.
My point is as I have mentioned several times, is we do not predict scores. We simply try to identify underdogs on the money line that have a good chance of being ahead at the half. The second half has no bearing on what we do. Over time, we make a lot of money wagering this way.
Don't complicate things with a buffet of statistical comparisons. That only confuses people.
Use the K.I.S.S. concept ( keep it simple stupid.
People ask me all the time if I can teach them my system. Well, I can teach some basics, but after doing this for 17 years you definitely develop a sixth sense to figure what to do. That is the kind of thing I can't teach and the reason I offer my advisory service.
Most people do not have the inclination or desire to properly evaluate every game. I do. The moral is simple. Do not get caught up in the incredible myriad of available statistics and predictions. If you follow every play I recommend you will have ups and downs but I guarantee you will make money.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Friday, October 1, 2010
Make Sure You Get Your Sportsbook Bonus
Almost all sportsbooks offer some type of sign up bonus or a bonus when you add additional money to your account. Many of them however, do not advertise their offer. Sometimes you have to ask them "What is the Bonus you are offering to new accounts or to customers that add money to their account".
Don't leave free money on the table. Contact me if you want to know where to find the best sportsbook bonuses.
George
gak555@yahoo.com
703-217-0805
Don't leave free money on the table. Contact me if you want to know where to find the best sportsbook bonuses.
George
gak555@yahoo.com
703-217-0805
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