Friday, October 29, 2010

Do not bet based on ATS results

I could show you hundreds of examples of handicappers that advise making plays based on ATS (Against the Spread)record.

With our style of betting we hardly ever pay attention to ATS because we are betting first half moneyline line underdogs for a team to be leading at half while winning more money back than we wagered. That is why our goal is 50% winners and 10 units of profit per month. A unit is what you normally risk on each of your bets.

ATS means how a team does against the pointspread. We never bet on pointspreads, because we are in the business of making money.

Here are three ridiculous examples of recommended bets based on ATS records. We will use college football as an example.

1. California is 2-7 ATS past nine games vs. Washington State.
2. Southern Cal is 7-3 ATS past ten vs Arizona St.
3. Florida Atlantic is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games in November.

What happened ATS 3 or 4 years ago between teams means almost nothing when you are looking to make a wager today. Coaches and players change very frequently and many teams that were great four years ago are terrible this year and vica versa.

You betting should be base on a combination of fundamental, technical and situational conditions. If you want to make money over the long term stick to money line underdogs. All professional handicappers will have ups and downs, but the approach we use WORKS as long as you are using good money management and bet the same amount on every play.

George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com.

Call if you have any questions about our advisory service or sports betting approach.

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