The Myth of Home Field Advantage in College Football

Home-field advantage is overrated, especially in college football.
There is no denying that many teams perform better at home. The issue is that the lines makers know that bettors will lean towards the home team if they can't quite decide which team to bet. Consequently, they tend to inflate the line in college football by an average of 3 points to the home team.

Fortunately for us first half money line bettors, one size does not fit all. Sure when you have a packed stadium week in and week out like Michigan or Florida, the home team probably warrants an advantage.

Well how about those teams that do not fill their home stands every week. The lines makers are giving them the same average home advantage as the full house teams when they really do not deserve it.

This is where we can capitalize on first half money line plays. Even when betting on a road dog in a capacity filled stadium, it has been proven that the crowd does not normally have a major influence until the 4th quarter.


One of several things I look at when playing college football, is the average attendance vs the stadium capacity. This will tell me a lot about fan support.
When you start getting my college football plays you will normally see an number of obscure underdogs playing on the road for the reasons I mentioned above. All I want to do, is to be leading a game at halftime.

If you want to pick a winner for a high profile televised game I can help you with that. On the other hand if your main motivation is making money then follow my plays on the Appalacian States and Towson Universities of the world.