Al Roker and Sports Betting

My vacation to the Outer Banks,NC was cut short due to a mandatory evacuation. We were told to leave late Thursday. The big news was the approach of Hurricane Earl. The Weather Channel even sent Al Roker down to give continual updates.

The forecast vacillated from Earl being a major category four hurricane to it missing the Outer Banks completely and heading north. The end result was that “Hurricane Earl” just missed the Outer Banks and caused strong winds and rain. No real harm done.

All of the expert meteorologists were monitoring the storm and giving their opinions as to the ultimate path of Hurricane Earl. Truth be told, no one knew exactly what would happen.

How does this relate to sports betting? Well, when we bet on a sporting event nothing can be guaranteed. So many things can happen to alter our analysis. For example, did our quarterback get injured on the second play of the game? Is there a torrential rain that virtually prevents the passing game from being effective? Did our team’s plane have a three hour delay causing our players to change their normal routine?

The point is, when we bet on money line underdogs ONLY we have a cushion for the unexpected. We always win more on our bets than we initially risk. We do not need to win 55% or 60% of our bets to be profitable. A 50% winning percentage makes us a lot of money. A 45% winning percentage would put us in break even territory.

When I release plays, just like Hurricane Earl, I cannot guarantee the end results. However, I have a buffer thaat allows me to be wrong and still make money. That is the beauty of money line betting.

The way I bet is going to make money. I am not in the prediction business, I am in the probability business. Over time we will be successful and make a ton of money.

September is a great month because we have three sports that overlap ( MLB-NFL and NCAAF). Traditionally I do not bet the first week of college football.

There were 31 games today in college football that had first half money lines. I will learn more from the results of those games than I would from reading the 12 college football publications that come out before the season starts. Next week we will have a number of college football plays.

Don’t forget that there is still a lot of money to be made in these final weeks of baseball. You might be surprised at some of my baseball recommendations that I will be sending out. Every team has a COMPLETELY different outlook in September. After 17 years of sports betting, I know exactly what to look for. I expect September to be a very profitable month. For my current subscribers, make sure you make all of the plays and stick to your money management. September will be an excellent money maker.