How did I know the Padres would Win ?

For the second straight day I was asked how I knew a team would win. Yesterday it was the KC Chiefs, which was an unpopular pick among my clients. Tonight it was the San Diego Padres.

If you are new to all this we only bet the first 5 innings of baseball games or the first half of football and basketball games. The San Diego Padres-Colorado Rockies game is still going on as I type this. But, San Diego was ahead after 5 innings 4-3. End of bet. That's all we care about. We were leading after five innings. $100 bettors with a take back of +150 made $150 of pure profit.


Getting back to the question of how I knew the Padres would win tonight. The answer is "I DIDN'T." No one knows who will win a contest. I am a professional handicapper and I know what is reasonable and what is not. When I see touts running their ads, everyone of them seems to have gone 16-4 their last 20 games. That is a bunch of bull. Could it happen. Sure. I once went 15-0 betting money line underdogs. That is incredible, but not common. Stay away from these guys that tell you they are doing that every week. I think most of them are great marketers and probably not very good handicappers.

I will say it again, I am in the probabilty business, not the prediction business. If you are a client, make all of the plays, as we will have winning and losing streaks. In the end we can't help but be profitable based on the way we bet.