Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Why We Only Bet Money Line Underdogs

If you study any casino game you will find that the house always has a built in probability advantage. They make the most money from Roulette players and the least from Black Jack players.

In point spread sports betting whether you bet the favorite or the underdog, you will pay an average of $110 to win $100. If you win you get $100. But, if you lose you are out $110. Just to break even you need to win 52.38% of your bets. To make any real money you need to win at least 56% or higher against the point spread. Trust me, that is not easy.

When betting the money line underdog in sports, you get the most bang for your buck.By example, let's say that the Yankees are favored by -170 over Kansas City and the take back on Kansas City is +155. That means if if you like the Yankees you would bet $170 to win $100. On the other hand if you bet Kansas City you would bet $100 to win $155. If the Yankees lose you are out $170. If they win you only win $100. Conversely if you bet KC and lose you are out $100. But if you win you are up $155.

The whole premise of how we win is to find underdogs that based on our analysis have a 50% chance of being ahead after the first half or first 5 innings of the games. If you are not aware, you can easily bet the first half of a game at most reputable sports books. In another blog I will explain why we bet the first half/1st five innings instead of the whole game. What we do is unique and very profitable. Contact me if you have any questions.

Regards,

George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com

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