Thursday, June 2, 2011

Low Scoring Baseball Games + Hockey ?

Special thanks to client NS for suggesting we should focus on underdogs that give us a higher payback. 90% of the time you will see that our plays are offered up with a line of +110 to +190.

I agree with NS and prefer a larger payback. A plus +175 play covers a lot more territory than a +110 (ironic that two of our plays today are showing a return of
+115 or less). I will look closely at this factor.

Related to the above paragraph: Scoring and offensive numbers are lower in almost every category in MLB. This is the era of the pitcher. There are many young and talented arms out there.

Although we do not bet totals, it is one of the categories a look at when making a pick. (for new subscibers, totals means the number of runs scored in a game). You can bet the over or under on these games. Posted totals will normally be about one run lower in the National League than the American League because of the designated hitter in the American League.

It used to be rare to see a totals number of 6 1/2. Usually the cutoff has been at least seven runs in the National League. You only would see 6 1/2 if there was a
pitching duel expected. Now it is common to see o/u lines of 6 1/2 in the National League. This benefits us because of the way we bet. The The important factor is to realize is that what we do is long term sports investing. Our goal is to average
+8-10 units (the amount we bet).

As far as hockey is concerned, we are missing the boat. I have been working closely with a colleauge in Canada that does great in hockey. Verified by me, he was up 69.5 units this year. I know many of my cliets do not care about what I pick. Their concern is simply, are you going to win or lose today. I understand that completely.

I wanted everyone to know that we will be betting on hockey this year. Forget the playoffs, it is too late for that this year. Lower scoring games tend to favor are style of betting. I will be heading to Winnepeg some time this summer to get everything in place. I know certain clients will eat this up because they love action. I love action, too.

However, the goal here is to make money, and that will happen. Keep your nose the grindstorm and that will happen. What is a grindstone ????? I don't know, but I always wanted to put it in writing.

Cheers,

George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com

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2 comments:

  1. Hockey betting our way is interesting because there is no First Half because there are 3 20 min periods. But shit, 69 units sign me up.

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