Good Morning,
Sometimes the line dictates a play for us. Texas is a better team than Houston and there are numerous reasons why they might beat Houston tonight.
One thing I am sure of is that Texas does not warrant being such a big favorite against their in state rival. The takeback on Houston is a large +160 for the first five innings. Houston has been playing fairly well in recent games and they could easily be ahead after five innings. The risk/reward is in our favor. Win or lose, this is a quality bet.
Baseball is a streaky venture. You never really know who is going to show up on the mound. If you look at virtually every pitcher you will see gems and you will see bad outings. That is why leading after 5 innings is all we care about and why we focus on the underdogs.
Last night was a perfect example of what can happen. We had two plays. We played Toronto vs Cincy. Cincy won the game 2-1, but Toronto was ahead 1-0, so we won that bet. In our other play, we had Houston over the LA Dodgers. the score after five innings was 0-0 so that was a push(tie). LA Dodgers went on to win 1-0.
The key as is that you must make all the plays and flat bet the same amount on each game. The fact that we only bet underdogs, over time, will make us winners.
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