Some Insights into Football Betting

First of all, it was nice to start September with two strong MLB days. I know when it comes to betting, that football rules. However, there will still be plenty of great sport investing opportunities left in baseball, so I urge you to keep making those baseball wagers.

We will shortly begin having plays in NCAAF and NFL. Since so many games are clustered on the weekends it is very important to watch your money management carefully and never bet more than 4% on any one game.

The bets we make will all be first half money line bets on the underdogs. Our goal is to be leading at least 50% of the games at halftime.

Unlike baseball, where you have to wait until the day of the game to wager, you will usually see the first half football lines posted earlier in the week. There is a lot of debate about whether you will get a better line if you bet early in the week or wait until the last minute. The general wisdom is to bet favorites early in the week and wait until game day to bet underdogs. Over time it becomes a wash, so don't get hung up on that.

Some specific things to focus on when you are betting on football:
( I have much more that I will share in future blogs)

1. I know just about everyone will want to bet on televised games or on their favorite teams. Let's face it, it's fun. I would simply recommend you bet 1/2 or less of your normal amount that you would use for your regular bets.

2. Some of the best values out there will be on obscure teams that do not get much media attention. These can be gems. Remember our goal is to make money through our sports investing.

3. Home field advantage in college football can be justified for a lot of teams. However, in many cases a team playing at home doesn't really have a strong advantage. For example, there is a huge difference between a team like Michigan playing in front of 102,000 home team fans, and a Towson University my alma mater) playing in front of 20,000 home fans. The lines makers typically award 3 points to most home teams as a built in advantage regardless of who they are. We will be looking closely at road underdogs that have a better team but are underdogs in large part because they are playing away.

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The fee for my service is $50.00 a month regardless of how many plays I release. From now through the end on October the nuber of plays tend to spike up. If you like to figure out how much you are paying per pick, it will probably come out to less than 50 cents per game. Contact me if you have any questions.

Regards,

George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com