When to Bet Against the Best Pitchers

As a rule, I shy away from betting against the best pitchers in baseball
(i.e. Roy Halliday, Josh Johnson, CC Sabathia, Josh Johnson, etc.) There are just too many other opportunities out there. However, there is good money to be made if you carefully pick your spots when your team is going against a top notch guy. I have made plenty of money going against the Randy Johnsons and Roger Clemens of the world.

The best pitchers are always going to command a premium price and the lines on them is usually overinflated because of public opinion. That is good for us.

With that being said, if an opposing team is in good form and they have a good, not great pitcher, going for them, it is always woth a second look.

When a good pitcher is going against a great pitcher you will often see the good pitcher rise to the occasion and pitch a great game. It's a combination of competiveness, adrenaline and the challenge of going against a stud pitcher.

When I bet against a great pitcher there is a reason to do so. We will lose some and win some, but if we can be leading a game after 5 innings, it is worth the risk.


If you see me going against a great pitcher, MAKE THE PLAY.