In one word: OPPORTUNITY. Since we only bet 1st half moneyline underdogs the tournament will play right into our strength. The big equalizer is the three point
shot. Three pointers allow smaller mid-sized schools to compete with the larger well known programs.
During March Madness there are always upsets and more importantly, first half opportunitites. It is not uncommon, for example, for big time schools to take the George Masons and Bradleys of the world lightly. Part of it is human nature regardless of what coaches say before tip off time. For me, it is one of the most exciting times of the year to bet on sports.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Monday, February 28, 2011
Friday, February 25, 2011
Less is More!
Good Evening,
I spent yesterday and today carefully looking over every play that I have made over the last six months. As many of you know, I only bet on the first half moneyline dogs in basketball and football and the first five innings of baseball games.
What I discovered was that in each month we would have made more money if we focused on underdogs with a takeback of +130 or higher. I will still bet some underdogs that are +110 to +125, but the goal here is to make money, not the number of plays I make.
I think part of me felt obligated to give subscribers some action and I may have forced a few plays that I normally would not make. You can expect less plays but better results in the future.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I spent yesterday and today carefully looking over every play that I have made over the last six months. As many of you know, I only bet on the first half moneyline dogs in basketball and football and the first five innings of baseball games.
What I discovered was that in each month we would have made more money if we focused on underdogs with a takeback of +130 or higher. I will still bet some underdogs that are +110 to +125, but the goal here is to make money, not the number of plays I make.
I think part of me felt obligated to give subscribers some action and I may have forced a few plays that I normally would not make. You can expect less plays but better results in the future.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Sunday, February 20, 2011
Conference Play - College Basketball
Things are starting to heat up in college conference play. Sixteen of the teams in the top 20 come from the ACC-Big East-Big 10 and the Big 12. There are many teams on the bubble of making the NCAA tournament. Home team underdogs particularly shine in this environment.
We only bet 1st half moneyline underdogs so we should have plenty of opportunities that meet our criteria. If you are interested in my daily service, let me know.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
ps. As a rule, I never bet all star exhibition games, and tonight's NBA all star game is no exception. Even though the last three of four NBA all star games went over the total, usually you find better value on the under, because so many people play and inflate the over. If you want to throw some play money into the game, you might want to wait to later today and take the under, the total should rise as we get closer to tip off (This is Not an Official Play)
We only bet 1st half moneyline underdogs so we should have plenty of opportunities that meet our criteria. If you are interested in my daily service, let me know.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
ps. As a rule, I never bet all star exhibition games, and tonight's NBA all star game is no exception. Even though the last three of four NBA all star games went over the total, usually you find better value on the under, because so many people play and inflate the over. If you want to throw some play money into the game, you might want to wait to later today and take the under, the total should rise as we get closer to tip off (This is Not an Official Play)
Friday, February 18, 2011
Yesterday's loss
We played Richmond over Temple yesterday with a very healthy payback of +170. Richmond got slaughtered in the first half. We never had a chance as Temple was playing lights out. The point I want to make is that you should expect to lose about 50% of your bets. The fact is that we always make more money on our winners because we only play first money line underdogs which makers up for the losses.
The keys are to make all the plays and never bet more than 4% of your bankroll on any given play. If you do that, you will be fine in the long run
George
703-217-0805
The keys are to make all the plays and never bet more than 4% of your bankroll on any given play. If you do that, you will be fine in the long run
George
703-217-0805
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Today's Plays
Today we have one play.
1. Richmond vs Temple - play Richmond. This game is a perfect example of the way we bet. Temple is a strong team, particulary at home. On the other hand, Richmond is an outstanding road team. The first half money line for Richmond is +170.
So a $100 bettor would win $170($170 plus they get back their $100 = $270) if Richmond is leading at the half.
If Temple is leading at the half then $100 bettors would lose $100. The key to betting 1st half moneyline underdogs is to look for opportunities where we feel that we have a good chance of leading at the half.
Surely, Richmond might be behind at the half, and we could easily have a loser. But, the risk reward/reward ratio very strong.
If you are interested in my service please contact me.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
1. Richmond vs Temple - play Richmond. This game is a perfect example of the way we bet. Temple is a strong team, particulary at home. On the other hand, Richmond is an outstanding road team. The first half money line for Richmond is +170.
So a $100 bettor would win $170($170 plus they get back their $100 = $270) if Richmond is leading at the half.
If Temple is leading at the half then $100 bettors would lose $100. The key to betting 1st half moneyline underdogs is to look for opportunities where we feel that we have a good chance of leading at the half.
Surely, Richmond might be behind at the half, and we could easily have a loser. But, the risk reward/reward ratio very strong.
If you are interested in my service please contact me.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Do not be afraid of college road underdogs
Conference play in College Basketball is now in full swing. Lines makers typically give a home team three points, and sometimes 5 points (i.e. Duke)simply because they are playing at home. We have an inherent advantage in playing road underdogs. By now, teams have played enough away games to where they are getting used to playing in hostile environments.
This is where the advantage of betting road dogs come into play. Remember, we only bet on first half money dogs. Many of these road teams are better than the home team. All we are trying to do is "sneak one in" during the first half. Statistics do in fact show the more fouls are called against the visiting teams than the home teams. This increases in the 3rd and 4th quarter. Stay the course and make all of the plays and you will be profitable.
This is where the advantage of betting road dogs come into play. Remember, we only bet on first half money dogs. Many of these road teams are better than the home team. All we are trying to do is "sneak one in" during the first half. Statistics do in fact show the more fouls are called against the visiting teams than the home teams. This increases in the 3rd and 4th quarter. Stay the course and make all of the plays and you will be profitable.
Why You have to make all of the plays
Why you have make all the plays
Yesterday we had zero winners 0W-2L (down 2.00 units) We had the The Pistons +130 for the first half and the LA Clipper for the 1st half + 170. We lost both games at the half by two points each
The important thing to realize is that these games could have gone either way.
If you stick to moneyline underdogs for the first half we will make money over the long haul. Do not get gunshy. Make all of the plays.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
Yesterday we had zero winners 0W-2L (down 2.00 units) We had the The Pistons +130 for the first half and the LA Clipper for the 1st half + 170. We lost both games at the half by two points each
The important thing to realize is that these games could have gone either way.
If you stick to moneyline underdogs for the first half we will make money over the long haul. Do not get gunshy. Make all of the plays.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
Thursday, February 10, 2011
What happened yesterday.
Yesterday, we had two plays. Both money line underdogs for the first half. Some folkes are still having difficulty understanding money line underdog plays. When you
bet the money line, the point spread does not matter. If we are leading at the half, we win. If we are losing at the half we lose. Point spreads do not factor at all. By example, yesterday we had two plays.
1. Georgetown vs Syracuse - Syracuse was leading at the half so we lost that bet. We also bet Davidson vs Wofford and the payback was +175. Davidson was leading at the half 37-24, so that was a win.
The end result was 1W-1L. Since the payback was so high on Davison $100 bettors make $75.00 dollars.
This is how we make money. Betting the first half moneylines. Feel free to contact me by phone or e-mail and I can answer all of your questions.
Please note that I am offering the rest of February for $39.00 If you do not show a profit, then March is free.
George
703-217-0805
bet the money line, the point spread does not matter. If we are leading at the half, we win. If we are losing at the half we lose. Point spreads do not factor at all. By example, yesterday we had two plays.
1. Georgetown vs Syracuse - Syracuse was leading at the half so we lost that bet. We also bet Davidson vs Wofford and the payback was +175. Davidson was leading at the half 37-24, so that was a win.
The end result was 1W-1L. Since the payback was so high on Davison $100 bettors make $75.00 dollars.
This is how we make money. Betting the first half moneylines. Feel free to contact me by phone or e-mail and I can answer all of your questions.
Please note that I am offering the rest of February for $39.00 If you do not show a profit, then March is free.
George
703-217-0805
Thursday, February 3, 2011
Why I Don't Bet Totals
Betting on the over/under score of a game is another approach that some sports bettors use. Sometimes I will bet a total with my fun money. However, I never give out an official play on a total.
There are two reasons why I stay away from them.
1. Over time, I have never been able to consistently beat them.
2. Commissions/Vig - there are exceptions to this but most total bets are going
to require you to pay approximately 10% commission. So just to break even
you will need to win 52.38% of your plays. You never want that situation
because it puts you in the hole right from the beginning. I prefer to stick
with the moneyline underdogs because you will always make more back on your
winners than losers. If we win 46-50% of our bets we wil make money.
If you are going to bet totals you will probably want to focus on the unders. By and large, the general public likes to bet on the over, so the over tends to be inflated, particularly on TV games.
Another thing to be aware of is that most people think that a rainy, nasty day should favor the under. However, keep in mind that the offenses know where they are going, and slippery conditions may give the offenses an advantage.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I have a great special for February. $39.00 gets you all of the plays for February. If we don't turn a profit then March is free
There are two reasons why I stay away from them.
1. Over time, I have never been able to consistently beat them.
2. Commissions/Vig - there are exceptions to this but most total bets are going
to require you to pay approximately 10% commission. So just to break even
you will need to win 52.38% of your plays. You never want that situation
because it puts you in the hole right from the beginning. I prefer to stick
with the moneyline underdogs because you will always make more back on your
winners than losers. If we win 46-50% of our bets we wil make money.
If you are going to bet totals you will probably want to focus on the unders. By and large, the general public likes to bet on the over, so the over tends to be inflated, particularly on TV games.
Another thing to be aware of is that most people think that a rainy, nasty day should favor the under. However, keep in mind that the offenses know where they are going, and slippery conditions may give the offenses an advantage.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
I have a great special for February. $39.00 gets you all of the plays for February. If we don't turn a profit then March is free
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