When you view baseball lines at 5Dimes, The Greek or any other sports book they alway offer an alternative bet called the Run Line. Sportsbooks make a lot of money from Run Line bettors. You won't see many professiol bettors taking the Run Line.
Let me explain a Run Line bet by example:
Today Philadelphia plays Washington. The line for the the full nine innings (run lines are not offered on 5 inning bets) is:
Philadelphia -152
Washington +142
The Run Line bet on the same game is:
Philadephia -1 1/2 runs +105 (Philadephia has to win by two runs)
Washington +1 1/2 runs -125 (Washington wins the bet even if they only lose by one run).
Basically you are turning a favorite into an underdog and an underdog into a favorite. This is very enticing to bettors especially if a really good team is playing a bad team
However, f you bet the Run Line over time you will lose money. Every year there are teams that will bring you a profit if you bet every one of their games on the Run Line. The problem is how to identify those teams. The answer is you can't.
The reason run lines do not work over time is that statistically 32% of all MLB games are decided by one run. Your best bet is to stick to 5 inning money line underdogs.
Regards,
George
703-217-0805
gak555@yahoo.com
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